Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000839 0.000900 0.000964 0.001036 0.001117 0.001203 0.001304
2025-12-21 0.000737 0.000817 0.000906 0.001012 0.001136 0.001278 0.001453
2025-12-28 0.000649 0.000735 0.000834 0.000956 0.001104 0.001281 0.001509
2026-01-04 0.000591 0.000681 0.000787 0.000921 0.001089 0.001295 0.001573
2026-01-11 0.000554 0.000649 0.000762 0.000908 0.001097 0.001336 0.001670
2026-01-18 0.000527 0.000626 0.000745 0.000904 0.001113 0.001387 0.001782
2026-01-25 0.000571 0.000692 0.000843 0.001051 0.001338 0.001731 0.002334
2026-02-01 0.000534 0.000652 0.000803 0.001013 0.001309 0.001722 0.002375
2026-02-08 0.000504 0.000621 0.000772 0.000986 0.001291 0.001728 0.002437
2026-02-15 0.000483 0.000600 0.000753 0.000974 0.001294 0.001763 0.002545
2026-02-22 0.000459 0.000575 0.000728 0.000950 0.001277 0.001766 0.002603
2026-03-01 0.000435 0.000547 0.000696 0.000916 0.001245 0.001742 0.002611
2026-03-08 0.000415 0.000527 0.000679 0.000905 0.001250 0.001786 0.002757
2026-03-15 0.000395 0.000505 0.000656 0.000886 0.001242 0.001811 0.002872
2026-03-22 0.000367 0.000472 0.000617 0.000839 0.001188 0.001754 0.002832
2026-03-29 0.000347 0.000449 0.000590 0.000809 0.001159 0.001736 0.002862
2026-04-05 0.000334 0.000435 0.000577 0.000799 0.001160 0.001767 0.002993
2026-04-12 0.000324 0.000425 0.000568 0.000795 0.001171 0.001818 0.003168
2026-04-19 0.000348 0.000466 0.000636 0.000918 0.001406 0.002302 0.004361
2026-04-26 0.000331 0.000445 0.000611 0.000887 0.001370 0.002270 0.004385
2026-05-03 0.000317 0.000428 0.000591 0.000864 0.001347 0.002263 0.004469
2026-05-10 0.000307 0.000417 0.000579 0.000853 0.001347 0.002300 0.004668
2026-05-17 0.000296 0.000402 0.000562 0.000833 0.001327 0.002295 0.004759